Refraction (Bent Thinking) #72

Black Swan Blindness – the argument that ignores low probability, high impact events, thus down playing the role of chance and under-representing known risks. Refutation: Unless you are speaking of generalizations, all probabilities need to be a part of the discussion. Example: Annabelle: “Boromir, the odds against Canada ever attacking the U.S. is so small that we don’t even need to discuss strengthening our northern borders.”  

This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *